March 10, 2023
At a Glance
- AI predicts Everything Everywhere All at Once will win Best Picture, Best Original Screenplay and Best Direction Oscars
- Michelle Yeoh and Ke Huy Quan are predicted to win Best Actress and Best Supporting Actor, respectively
- Austin Butler predicted to beat Brendan Fraiser to Best Actor gong
Everything Everywhere All at Once is set to sweep the 95th Academy Awards, winning Best Picture, Best Actress and Best Original Screenplay, according to AI predictions.
Unanimous AI’s Swarm intelligence platform calculated the probability of nominees winning the different categories at this year’s Oscars. It predicted that Everything Everywhere All At Once, the multiverse comedy drama starring Michelle Yeoh and Ke Huy Quan, will win the hotly contested Best Picture award.
Swarm gave it a 52% probability of winning – favorable odds considering the movie is up against the likes of All Quiet on the Western Front, The Banshees of Inisherin and The Fabelmans, among others.
The Best Picture Oscar would add to its long list of awards, including two Golden Globe Awards, one BAFTA Award, four SAG Awards and seven Independent Spirit Awards.
Swarm predicted that Michelle Yeoh will win Best Actress for the movie, with a 63% probability, and costar Jamie Lee Curtis will win Best Support Actress, with 67%.
Everything Everywhere directors Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert are predicted to win Best Directors (72%) and Best Original Screenplay (78%).
Ke Huy Quan, who previously played Short Round in Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom, was picked by the AI to win Best Supporting Actor. Quan only returned to acting in 2021 having quit due to a lack of roles for Asian Americans.
Swarm predicted Austin Butler to win Best Actor for his performance as The King in the Elvis Presley biopic, Elvis. Butler was given a 57% chance of winning, pipping Colin Farrell, Brendan Fraser and Paul Mescal to the post.
Unanimous’s AI gave Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio an overwhelming 92% chance of winning Best Animated Feature Film, and Avatar: The Way of Water an 88% likelihood of winning Best Visual Effects.
Netflix’s World War One Epic All Quiet on the Western Front was given a 90% probability of winning Best International Film, having been among the critic's favorites for Best Picture.
Every year for the last six years, Unanimous AI has been more accurate than movie critics at predicting Oscar winners. It uses swarm intelligence -- the power of interactive group decisions enhanced by AI -- to transform regular people into expert decision-makers.
Last year, Unanimous’ Swarm platform got 13 out of 16 categories right but failed to correctly predict best picture, best original screenplay and best-adapted screenplay.
In an interview with AI Business last March, Unanimous founder Louis Rosenberg said predicting sports outcomes is harder than movie awards. Its platform got both the recent Super Bowl and World Series winners wrong but got the NBA finals right, down to which game would clinch the title for the Golden State Warriors.
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