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Adjacent future: Trust in data science, machine learning and artificial intelligence

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by Dr James McKeone, Modo25
7 April 2020

This post started as a collection of thoughts on one of the hot-topic challenges in my discipline – ethics in data science, machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI). This is the must-have topic in every analytics conference in 2020.

Often a forum at conferences, delegates grapple with bias in automated decisioning, the societal impact of automation, privacy concerns and inequality. It seems to me that we are not making progress in this area, and one more post on the obvious case for moral judgement in AI and ML applications is of little benefit. Instead, I want to present a near future, an adjacent future; not the one where robots have replaced our jobs and upended society but one rather more insidious and closer to today’s reality.

What services do we rely on in times of crisis? Access to doctors, news, transport, cashflow and immediate access to medical, food and living supplies. I would argue that the poorest, most disadvantaged members of society rely on these services not only in crises but much more frequently. Consider how much of the key crisis services are already automated: medical triage, public transport networks, welfare and banking networks, logistics and supply networks. The adjacent future I would like to consider is where at each key decision in these areas we place an algorithm or AI system.

take what we know about the state of AI applications in 2020. There
is the potential
for bias
and sometimes the potential for
widespread harm
None of these problems are intended by design at the outset but
rather by omission or oversight, a sort of extreme or catch-22
example of George Box’s famous
“All models are wrong, but some are useful”.

If we drop in place AI solutions as they have currently been deployed, with entrenched bias, racist, sexist and inequitable decision making, it’s very easy to imagine those most disadvantaged members of society whom rely most on the key crisis services above to develop deep and lasting distrust of algorithms, ML, AI and data science generally. As an industry, what we have achieved over the last 20 years is incredible, but where we are headed in the next five requires active thought. The needle of public acceptance of automated decisioning is shifting and distrust and suspicion will cloud my field in years to come.

There is another adjacent future, however, one where AI can break down exceedingly complex problems, drive economic growth, fulfill human rights and reduce systemic inequality globally. These might seem like lofty goals beyond the reach of a Leeds-based start-up like Modo25. But we are not spectators. We are not in the business of building automated welfare systems, state sponsored surveillance programs, or automated medical triage. We are committed to building models, tools and software that increase inclusion and access to products and services in the digital world and consider very carefully the impact of what we deploy.

Dr James McKeone is Principal Data Scientist at Modo25, a digital  marketing and technology provider

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